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Oil prices held steady in early Asian trading on Thursday after gaining a dollar a barrel in the prior session as investors braced for a worsening of the Middle East crisis, potentially involving Iran, the third-largest oil producer in OPEC. Oil prices held steady in early Asian trading on Thursday after gaining a dollar a barrel in the prior session as investors braced for a worsening of the Middle East crisis, potentially involving Iran, the third-largest oil producer in OPEC. A Bloomberg report on Wednesday said the U.S. and its allies believe major missile or drone strikes by Iran or its proxies against Israel are imminent. "The market has become increasingly concerned that the Israel-Hamas war could escalate across the Middle East, putting oil supply at risk," ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes said. Oil traders will also be looking out for a monthly oil market report from the OPEC due to be published later on Thursday, and the International Energy Agency's oil market report due on Friday.
Persons: Antony Blinken, Yoav Gallant, Daniel Hynes Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Hamas, Bloomberg, Israeli, U.S . State Department, ANZ, International Energy Locations: Iran, Gaza, Israel, Syria, U.S, United States
Oil prices extended gains on Friday and headed for a second weekly gain, supported by geopolitical tensions in Europe and the Middle East, concerns over tightening supply, and optimism about global fuel demand growth as economies improve. Oil prices extended gains on Friday and headed for a second weekly gain, supported by geopolitical tensions in Europe and the Middle East, concerns over tightening supply, and optimism about global fuel demand growth as economies improve. Heavy oil supply has also tightened globally after Mexico and the United Arab Emirates cut exports of these grades. This comes amid solid global oil demand growth of 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in the first quarter, JP Morgan analysts said in a note. "Our high-frequency demand indicators estimate that total oil consumption in March averaged 101.2 million bpd, 100,000 bpd above our published estimates," they said.
Persons: Brent, Daniel Hynes, Soni Kumari, WTI, Israel, JP Morgan Organizations: . West Texas, ANZ, NATO, of, Petroleum, United, Investors Locations: Europe, Brent, Israel, Syria, Russia, OPEC, Mexico, United Arab Emirates, U.S
Oil fell slightly as China growth worries clash with output cuts
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil prices fell slightly on Wednesday as concerns about demand growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer, clashed with signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers. Oil prices fell slightly on Wednesday as concerns about demand growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer, clashed with signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers. The 'risk off' nature of recent trading was underscored by the fall in Treasury yields, which also pressured oil prices. "Crude oil futures edged lower amid the risk-off tone across markets. If the EIA reports a crude storage build, it will be the sixth straight week of rising oil stocks in the country.
Persons: Daniel Hynes Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Treasury, of, Petroleum, ANZ, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: China, OPEC, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Asia
The Shenzhen Component Index, a tech-heavy benchmark, had its worst day in nearly two years, plunging 3.5%. It’s the worst start to a year for Chinese stocks since 2016, when investors were ditching their holdings following a market crash in 2015. The country’s economy grew by 5.2% last year. That beat government projections but is still one of China’s worst economic performances in over three decades. The International Monetary Fund forecasts the country’s economic growth to slow to 4.2% this year.
Persons: Ken Cheung, , Europe’s, Premier Li Qiang, Brian Martin, Daniel Hynes, Li, , ” Stephen Innes, managing Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Shenzhen Component, Mizuho Bank, CSI, Nikkei, Premier, Economic, ANZ Research, Monetary Fund, China’s Commerce Ministry, Investors Locations: Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, United States
Oil prices fell on Wednesday as a stronger U.S. dollar limited demand for greenback-denominated crude, though the rising risks of supply disruptions amid the intensifying conflict in the Red Sea curbed the losses. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures , or WTI, fell 43 cents, or 0.59%, to $71.97 a barrel. The stronger dollar reduces demand for dollar-denominated oil for buyers paying in other currencies. British oil major Shell suspended shipments through the Red Sea after the U.S. and UK strikes began, but U.S. producer Chevron is maintaining its Red Sea routes. "While oil benchmarks may not reflect the Red Sea attacks, the realized price for oil and oil products for consumers has increased given the disruption to trade flows through the Red Sea and Suez Canal," Vivek Dhar, director of mining and energy commodities strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Daniel Hynes, Vivek Dhar Organizations: greenback, Global, Brent, . West Texas, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ Bank, Shell, Chevron, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: U.S, Iran, Yemen, Red, Suez
Tatneft is one of the largest Russian public companies with a market capitalization of more than 1.1 trillion rubles at the beginning of 2022. Oil prices rose on Friday after the U.S. tightened its sanctions program against Russian crude exports, raising supply concerns in an already tight market, and global inventories are forecast to decline through the fourth quarter. Russia is the world's second-largest oil producer and a major exporter the tighter U.S. scrutiny of its shipments could curtail supply. "Supply side issues remained the focus in the crude oil market," Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said in a note on Friday, adding that prices during early trade on Friday rose on the stronger U.S. sanctions enforcement. That assumes that there are no further supply disruptions emanating from the Israel-Hamas war," Hynes said.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Daniel Hynes, Hynes Organizations: U.S, . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, ANZ, OPEC Locations: Tatarstan, Russia, Tatneft, Brent, Israel, U.S, Moscow, Ukraine, China
Crude oil storage tanks are seen in an aerial photograph at the Cushing oil hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, U.S. April 21, 2020. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $1.98, or 2.39%, to $84.89 a barrel. "(A) geopolitical risk premium still lingers around the corner that is likely to support oil prices in the short-term," said Kelvin Wong, senior markets analyst at OANDA in Singapore. Russia is the world's second-largest oil producer and a major exporter and the tighter U.S. scrutiny of its shipments could curtail supply. Oil prices also shrugged off data released on Friday showing a month-on-month decline in Chinese crude imports.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Kelvin Wong, Wong, Daniel Hynes, Hynes, Paul Carsten, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Christian Schmollinger, Deborah Kyvrikosaios Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, US West Texas, Hamas, OANDA, Organization of, Petroleum, ANZ, OPEC, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Brent, Israel, Singapore, East, Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, China, London, Tokyo, Beijing
Oil pump jacks are seen at the Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas deposit in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina, January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 4 (Reuters) - Oil edged lower on Wednesday ahead of a panel meeting of OPEC+ ministers, as the market weighed expectations of supply tightness against fears that high interest rates could reduce fuel demand. Brent crude oil futures dipped 6 cents to $90.86 a barrel by 0345 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) , fell 5 cents to $89.18 per barrel. "A resilient labour market is deemed to be providing more room for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep rates high for longer," said Yeap Jun Rong, market analyst at IG. Eight analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 500,000 barrels in the week to Sept. 29.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Jun Rong, Brian Martin, Daniel Hynes, Alexander Novak, Laura Sanicola, Muyu Xu, Gerry Doyle, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Federal Reserve, IG, of, Petroleum, ANZ, Reuters, Industry, American Petroleum Institute, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Asia, Turkey, United States, .
"Crude oil struggled to keep its head above water on signs of supply tightness easing," said Brian Martin and Daniel Hynes, analysts from ANZ Bank in a note to clients. Iraq's oil minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani arrived in the Turkish capital Ankara to discuss several issues including the resumption of oil exports through the Ceyhan oil terminal, a source in the minister's office told Reuters on Monday. Meanwhile, gloom over the economic outlook in China, the world's second biggest oil consumer, continued to pressure oil prices and heighten worries about fuel demand. Putting a floor to oil prices, U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories were expected to have fallen last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed, as the American Petroleum Institute industry group is due to release data later on Tuesday. U.S. economic data over recent weeks has bolstered expectations for the Fed to keep rates higher for longer, putting a dampener on the demand outlook for oil and a broad range of consumer goods.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Brent, Brian Martin, Daniel Hynes, Hayan Abdel, Ghani, Muyu Xu, Katya Golubkova, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, . West Texas, ANZ Bank, Reuters, International Chamber of Commerce, of, Petroleum, Eurasia Group, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Information Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, PMI, Federal, Jackson, Fed, Thomson Locations: Bakersfield , California, OPEC, Turkish, Ankara, Turkey, Iraq, China, Beijing, Eurasia, Singapore, Tokyo
Dhiraj Singh | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesIndia's ability to import more Russian oil may have hit a limit for the rest of the year, analysts tell CNBC, citing infrastructural and political constraints, as well as limitations to Russian oil flows. Since the Kremlin's invasion of Ukraine in February last year, India's refiners have been snapping up discounted Russian oil. Moscow has since leapfrogged to become India's leading source of crude oil, accounting for about 40% of India's crude imports. June marked the 10th consecutive month-on-month increase in India's imports of Russian crude, data from commodity intelligence firm Kpler showed. And that's the highest volume that India's imports of Russian oil can go — at least for the rest of the year, according to his predictions.
Persons: Dhiraj Singh, Janiv Shah, India's, Kpler, Viktor Katona, Daniel Hynes, Rystad Energy's Shah, Katona, Hynes, that's, Kpler's Organizations: Bharat Petroleum Corp, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Rystad Energy, ANZ, India's Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Kpler Locations: Mumbai, India, Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Asia, Kpler Russia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSaudi and Russia's oil production cuts not really impacting physical markets, says ANZANZ's Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes says Saudi Arabia and Russia's recent oil production cuts are not really impacting physical markets now.
Persons: Daniel Hynes Organizations: Saudi, ANZ, Senior Locations: Saudi Arabia
"Saudi Arabia has a track record of delivering on material cuts," RBC Capital's Helima Croft said in a note. "Hence, we would expect the full 1 million bpd unilateral cut to hit the market in July, nearly doubling the true physical reduction we have seen from the producer group since October." "With Saudi Arabia protecting oil prices from sliding too low by cutting production, we think oil markets are now more prone to a shortfall later this year," Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note. "We think Brent futures will rise to $85/bbl by Q4 2023 even with a tepid demand recovery in China factored in." "Affording it the 200,000 bpd quota adjustment for 2024 seems to settle the issue of its OPEC membership for now."
Persons: Brent, Helima Croft, Vivek Dhar, Goldman Sachs, Daan Struyven, Callum Bruce, Daniel Hynes, Soni Kumari, RBC's Croft, Florence Tan, Sonali Paul Organizations: Saudi, Organization of, Petroleum, RBC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, bbl, ANZ, U.S . Federal, United Arab, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Russia, China, Iran, Venezuela, OPEC, United Arab Emirates
West Texas Intermediate U.S. crude fell 33 cents, also 0.4%, to $80.53 a barrel. In Europe, European Central Bank officials are also wary of inflation and suggesting interest rates must keep rising. Meanwhile, the economy of top crude oil importer China grew by a faster-than-expected 4.5% in the first quarter, while the country's oil refinery throughput rose to record levels in March, data showed. ,Adding more pressure on oil benchmarks is Asian refiners continuing to seize Russian crude in April. India and China have snapped up the vast majority of Russian oil so far in April at prices above the Western price cap of $60 per barrel, according to traders and Reuters calculations.
April 19 (Reuters) - Oil drifted lower on Wednesday as the market weighed potential interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve that could slow growth and dampen oil consumption, offsetting falling U.S. inventories and strong Chinese economic data. The U.S. Federal Reserve likely has one more interest rate rise in store to fight inflation, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the economy of top crude oil importer China grew by a faster-than-expected 4.5% in the first quarter, while the country's oil refinery throughput rose to record levels in March, data showed. ,Adding more pressure on the oil benchmarks is that Asian refiners continues to seize Russian crude in April. India and China have snapped up the vast majority of Russian oil so far in April at prices above the Western price cap of $60 per barrel, according to traders and Reuters calculations.
Higher interest rates tend to lift the dollar, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies and reducing demand. Other economic reports from the United States, the world's biggest oil consumer, showed some troubling signs however. A preliminary Reuters analyst poll on Tuesday also showed a rise in U.S. crude inventories, exacerbating the demand worries. Analysts expect China's oil imports to hit a record high in 2023 to meet increased demand for transportation fuel and as new refineries come on stream. Morgan Stanley has raised its global oil demand growth estimate for this year by about 36%, citing growing momentum in China's reopening and a recovery in aviation, but flagged higher supply from Russia as an offseting factor.
Brent crude futures for April delivery were up 2 cents to $83.07 a barrel by 0242 GMT after falling 1.2% on Tuesday. read moreOther economic reports from the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer, showed some troubling signs however. "Further rate hikes could dampen oil demand." Higher interest rates tend to lift dollar prices, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Expectations of tighter global supplies and rising demand from China have recently lent support to oil prices.
"U.S. crude oil ... inventories have continued to exceed expectations, which to some extent erodes the bullish sentiments brought from China's demand recovery hopes," said analysts from Haitong Futures. Crude oil stocks in the United States rose last week to their highest since June 2021, helped by higher production, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories also rose last week as demand remained weak. read moreBut the prospect of stronger demand from China lent support to oil prices, as the world's second-largest oil consumer ended more than three years of stringent zero-COVID policy involving city-wide lockdowns and mass testing in December. The disaster had halted operations at Ceyhan and disrupted crude oil flows from Iraq and Azerbaijan.
"Crude prices are rising on expectations that China's recovery will take hold and on supply outages from the earthquake that devastated Turkey," said Edward Moya, analyst at OANDA. The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects half of this year's global oil demand growth to come from China, the agency's chief said on Sunday, adding that jet fuel demand was surging. Operations at Turkey's 1 million barrel per day (bpd) oil export terminal in Ceyhan were halted after a major earthquake hit the region. The BTC terminal, which exports Azeri crude oil to international markets, will be closed on Feb. 6-8. The oil markets will closely watch the U.S. Federal Reserve's chair Jerome Powell's speech on Wednesday, analysts said.
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